Friday, November 4, 2005

Bush Polls Use Very Small Numbers For Results

COMMENTARY
I'm not sure which is worse: news polls manufactured in a data-free environment, or news polls taken from a data-impoverished environment.

For the stories below, the Washington Post polled less than 1300 folks and the AP/Ipsos poll used about 1000 folks. Now, I'm no math genius, but the law of large numbers computes the approximate mean of the sample population and relates it to the whole population. So what do we know when using 1000 opinions to take the pulse of almost 300,000,000 individuals? It means we have the opinions of 1000 folks. Note that the AP/Ipsos poll is weighted against Bush with close to two-thirds of the respondents being Democrat (download poll details).

There's no need to discuss agenda here; simply hop on or hop off the bandwagon. Just remember, the truth is all by the (lack of) numbers.

NEWS STORIES

Bush's Popularity Reaches New Low
For the first time in his presidency a majority of Americans question the integrity of President Bush, and growing doubts about his leadership have left him with record negative ratings on the economy, Iraq and even the war on terrorism, a new Washington Post-ABC News poll shows.

On almost every key measure of presidential character and performance, the survey found that Bush has never been less popular with the American people. Currently 39 percent approve of the job he is doing as president, while 60 percent disapprove of his performance in office -- the highest level of disapproval ever recorded for Bush in Post-ABC polls.

Public Support for Bush Slips to New Low
WASHINGTON (AP) -- President Bush's public support has eroded to its lowest level yet, with the Iraq war dragging on, a top White House aide facing felony charges and the White House rushing to replace a failed Supreme Court nominee.

A new AP-Ipsos poll found the president's approval rating was at 37 percent, compared with 39 percent a month ago. About 59 percent of those surveyed said they disapproved.

Topics: , , , , , , , , ,
AddThis Social Bookmark Button

1 Comments:

Blogger jm said...

Today at the summit of the americas, protesters set a bank on fire Friday and threw objects at police in the streets of the Argentine city hosting the Summit of the Americas. Small bands of demonstrators threw Molotov cocktails, set bonfires in the streets and burned American flags. At what point will the president realize, maybe he's doing something wrong?

1:44 AM EST  

Post a Comment

<< Home