Reality Check: AP-Ipsos Poll 4/07 Methodology
NEW BUSH POLL BIASED BY THE NUMBERS
COMMENTARY
Once again AP-Ipsos presents us with flawed poll numbers in Bush, GOP Approval Ratings Find New Lows. The poll is stacked in most of its demographics to favor pro-Democrat results and is used to present a situation that would seem dire when taken at face value. When we look at the data, the whole story becomes questionable.
Of polled:
Republicans: 26%
Democrat: 31%
Independent: 34%
None: 9%
Actual -- in last election: 37% each for Republicans/Democrats, the rest with third party or no party affiliation.
Of polled:
Religion: 23% said they had none.
Actual -- in last election 10% said they had none.
Of polled:
Race: 69% white
Actual -- 77% white
Source: Ankle Biting Pundits
Source: Ipsos
NEWSLINE
A first-year student in statistics would be flunked for turning in poll results as obviously bad as this AP-Ipsos poll. Yet thousands of articles will appear in all media, across the nation and the world in the next few days, based on this poll. John Armor
NEWSBYTES
Bush, GOP Approval Ratings Find New Lows
WASHINGTON (AP) -- President Bush's approval ratings hit a series of new lows in an AP-Ipsos poll that also shows Republicans surrendering their advantage on national security — grim election-year news for a party struggling to stay in power.
Demographics, Details About AP-Ipsos Poll
(AP) -- Some demographics and details about the AP-Ipsos poll on attitudes about President Bush, Congress and the two political parties. The results are taken from a poll of 1,003 adults that was conducted Monday through Wednesday. The poll, conducted by the international polling firm Ipsos, has a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 3 percentage points. This looks at how different groups feel about Bush and Congress and how they view Democrats and Republicans on national security issues.
Ipsos 4/7 Poll Factsheet (PDF)
NOTE: Mouseover pictures for captions. Click for enlargements.
Tags: Media, Journalism, newspapers, polls, Bush, White House, Ipsos
Global Tags: Washington DC, News and Politics, News, Politics, Current Events, Current Affairs, Life, Culture, Tension
COMMENTARY
Once again AP-Ipsos presents us with flawed poll numbers in Bush, GOP Approval Ratings Find New Lows. The poll is stacked in most of its demographics to favor pro-Democrat results and is used to present a situation that would seem dire when taken at face value. When we look at the data, the whole story becomes questionable.
Of polled:
Republicans: 26%
Democrat: 31%
Independent: 34%
None: 9%
Actual -- in last election: 37% each for Republicans/Democrats, the rest with third party or no party affiliation.
Of polled:
Religion: 23% said they had none.
Actual -- in last election 10% said they had none.
Of polled:
Race: 69% white
Actual -- 77% white
Source: Ankle Biting Pundits
Source: Ipsos
NEWSLINE
A first-year student in statistics would be flunked for turning in poll results as obviously bad as this AP-Ipsos poll. Yet thousands of articles will appear in all media, across the nation and the world in the next few days, based on this poll. John Armor
NEWSBYTES
Bush, GOP Approval Ratings Find New Lows
WASHINGTON (AP) -- President Bush's approval ratings hit a series of new lows in an AP-Ipsos poll that also shows Republicans surrendering their advantage on national security — grim election-year news for a party struggling to stay in power.
Demographics, Details About AP-Ipsos Poll
(AP) -- Some demographics and details about the AP-Ipsos poll on attitudes about President Bush, Congress and the two political parties. The results are taken from a poll of 1,003 adults that was conducted Monday through Wednesday. The poll, conducted by the international polling firm Ipsos, has a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 3 percentage points. This looks at how different groups feel about Bush and Congress and how they view Democrats and Republicans on national security issues.
Ipsos 4/7 Poll Factsheet (PDF)
NOTE: Mouseover pictures for captions. Click for enlargements.
Tags: Media, Journalism, newspapers, polls, Bush, White House, Ipsos
Global Tags: Washington DC, News and Politics, News, Politics, Current Events, Current Affairs, Life, Culture, Tension
posted by Steven Moyer at 2:05 PM
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